Conscription and a draft are easier on Russia because they have more.....that is not saying it doesn't have a significant impact but they have a deeper bucket of everything to dip out of. The number of combat age people in Russia was around 20M Ukraine was 5M heading into the war and they already lost a huge chunk of that 10% as of early 2023. The average age of fighting personel for Ukraine is already over 40 years old. Ukraine cannot outlast Russia in any way even with support weaponry and money. It's going to take bodies.
Yes. More numbers to pull from. But much less willingness to accept a similar impact. That's why we keep saying you have to make Russia burn through troops. Make the population feel it and make them want to step back and reassess if it's worth it.
I never said they had magic weapons and I don't think they are an unstoppable force. They have weapons they haven't used and have absolutely held back.
What in the ever loving h3ll are you talking about? You made the same claim yesterday and when I asked you to back it up, you listed well known weapons already in use and in such limited availability that they don't make an iimpact.the only things they've "held back" is a bunch of crap that they are afraid to use because it isn't operational. See their Armata tank, the Su-57 etc. They will use periodically in controlled scenarios because they either suck, are so expensive and irreplaceable they arent useful or both.
I mentioned subs for a reason and said any capacity for a reason. Yes Russia has had ships sunk.....surface ships. I said if the subs arrive someone else will have to get involved. If they block grain ships or any other kind of blockade using subs someone else will have to intervene because Ukraine can do nothing about it. A blockade is a non nuclear action that will impact all of Europe that they haven't done and could have day one.... That's the point someone else has to help them directly.....
In case you didnt know they lost a sub too. There are very few in the Black Sea, more are not coming unless they are freighted in.
Turkey and others escort the grain shipments because it is in the best interests of the entire world. That isn't going to change if Russia somehow loads up subs from who knows where - by the way Turkey has said no military vessels are allowed through the straight for either side.
They are also still using a fraction of their air force. They are using restraint.
Yes they are using a fraction of their aircraft. But not because they are restraining themselves
Its because if they fly over or near Ukrainian soil they risk getting shot down. Air warfare has been largely limited due to SAM numbers. Patriots have pushed their C2 aircraft out to the far side of the black Sea. They only have so many ALCM so they rely on glide bombs. So only near-ish the front, which means they have to be careful in employment.
Side note. They absolutely SUCK at real time targeting so everything is preplanned which is why they only bomb buildings and structures. They can't flex to troops in contact and they can't operate near friendly forces other than as preplanned targets.
Zelinsky concerns the hell out of me now.
Why? Because he won't just roll over a be a good little puppet for Papa Putin..?