I would be curious how much China via Russia is influencing this. There was no question we are coming out of this in a weakened position (how much so seems to be the question).I'm afraid that Iran has us by the balls. They want a cease fire, on theirn terms.
Pretend you are a neutral observer from another world brought in to look at this disagreement. Who seems to be in control here:
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Putin can play nice and negotiate security agreements w Eastern Europe while China negotiates trade including agriculture agreements w Europe and energy trade agreements w Iran and Russia including $2MM and up tolls w Iran.
We will be weakened economically w trade partners cut off and potentially militarily if Gulf allies restrict access to bases.
We may not agree w any of our Middle East excursions to date but it did allow us to check Iran w proximity. Now that Iran continues to call our bluff our Gulf Allies could switch to China who would have a more favorable relationship via Russia w Iran.
This is probably all worst case scenario but does anyone think 47 doesn’t hold a masters degree in effing up a train wreck?