SanditeCowboy
Ranger
These are wild.
Here is one tending the bar.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Here is one tending the bar.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Musks Optimus Robots
- Thread starter SanditeCowboy
- Start date
You want skynet? Because this is how you get skynet.
Nothing to see here. I'm not going to be nervous until robots start building other rob......ha hell.
Eh, it'll probably make it less embarrassing when we do come into contact with extraterrestrial intelligence if the robots are in charge of Earth instead of us.
I think it may be more like how you get VIKI. I just hope we have a Del Spooner and a Susan Calvin.
No really.....they are going to take our jobs.
Kids jobs. Anyone with kids might want to think about what careers can't be done through automation and suggest they pursue that path.
Decade from now you could have 100% of some jobs being replaced.....40-50% of all jobs in everything. 25 years it's hard to imagine anything a robot can't do. Remember a few years ago when the Boston Dynamic robot dog was so cutting edge but you could just knock it over with a slight push....now we have robot dogs fighting in Ukraine. I mean they launched this by getting into cars that drive themselves without pedals with robots as wait staff.....now....If they can crank these things out for 30K it's over. You are looking at million dollar robot physicians, everything but litigation in law, all the non artsy design of everything, all accounting, huge chunks of law enforcement, all manufacturing, all service industry, all custodial, all transportation, engineering, etc etc. Thinking about my line of work.....it will very hard to make a robot be an outside operator at a power plant lots of tight hard to maneuver spots with lots of if not this than that scenarios but in the control room....that would be fairly easy a robot could plug straight into the control system and run it without rest creating real time reports and diagnostics. There goes 25% of our crew.
I've already been talking to my kids about it.....you are right that young folks need to be factoring this in.....I just can't think of anything that won't be impacted.
No really.....they are going to take our jobs.
And when that happens, Basic Income will become reality. I don't really know anything about it except what I read in The Expanse series of books - that once a high percentage of jobs are overtaken by automation/robots, many people without advanced education/skills will live on minimum government payments (maybe Yang was promoting a version (?), hence Steross' reference).
How advanced do your skills and education have to be? You can't out skill or out educate. Imagine an attorney with every case ever available to them in fractions of a second....an engineer who is never wrong and never takes a break....I don't know what it looks like. There are two prevailing thoughts is "well someone has to build the robots when the car replaced the horse people worked on cars".....this is different because people had to perform functions well in this case a bot can design, build, and operate the horse. The other is educated/skilled people will be less prone......any profession where data is involved or advanced learning should go first. Plumbers are safer than architects. It's everything at the pace we are going and I have no idea what that looks like. I don't think it will be humans living off money given to them. We will still be human and that isn't in our nature.
Just like we can't imagine what robots could do for us in 15 years, we can't imagine the brand new sectors of the economy they will bring. I can look up countless videos of people from the 60's saying they think no one will have jobs in the year 2000 because of computers. The data show that more automation creates job growth.
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We are all guessing because it is dangerous.
That is why Musk said, "80% chance this goes well."
It is obvious that with time and tech advancements that we can make robots that do virtually everything better than us. The issue is to make those machines, and not have the machines figure out that they are better than us at everything therefore they take over. Figuring that out would be difficult and risky.
Ideally, there would still be human employment but better work. It is better to run/make/repair the crop picker than to pick crops.
The question is will we have a human workforce with the ability to do those things? We are getting dumber, not smarter. People blame smartphones and tech which might a part but I think the primary cause is we are so unhealthy. Metabolic health affects the brain just like the other organs.
People always focus on the worst case scenario.
We may all play golf with robot caddies that can track you ball so you never lose it and kick it out of the trees when no one is looking. Like I said I don't know. But outside of tasks where one expresses themselves robots will be better than us at everything.....robots won't be able to make my granny's gravy because it's never the same and love is an ingredient....they won't be able to sing or paint like an artist as that person has individual flare. But if you ain't that they are going to be able to do your job better than you and in the near future.
So let's hope for golf.
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Good question....short answer no. I posted about this in Polds nuke thread. Data centers and tech are driving generation build more than grid need. There are some that are building large scale power production facilities and doing all they can to not connect to the grid but only supply themselves. Also in the nuke thread but one development shop is stumping 3 projects a 6 gig, 3 gig, and a smaller that will be between 1.5-0.5 gigs depending on what they can get done and that's only in the DFW area. Perspective OG&E has around 7 gigs of total load. So three projects in one metro are substantially bigger than a decades old utility that supplies most of a state. And they are selecting counterparties off speed of delivery more than costs. Things are advancing more rapidly than ever and they all require energy in large amounts. The bot itself will probably draw very little.....the servers they are hooked up to for data use a ton.
