2024 Presidential Election

Trump now at .55 on predictit. (55%)
59% on Kalshi
62% on Polymarket.

Basically, making up all the post Madison Square Garden losses in the last 24 hours. It will be interesting to see if these gut feels from these markets transition to voters.

Personally, I think most people figure he is going to win Pennsylvania. If he does these odds are probably correct.
Thanks for posting the update. I've been caught up this morning. I have similar thoughts.

If one reads the comments on the site, there may be just gut feelings going on, nothing more.
 
Trump now at .55 on predictit. (55%)
59% on Kalshi
62% on Polymarket.

Basically, making up all the post Madison Square Garden losses in the last 24 hours. It will be interesting to see if these gut feels from these markets transition to voters.

Personally, I think most people figure he is going to win Pennsylvania. If he does these odds are probably correct.

ForecastEx contracts.
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Trump now at .55 on predictit. (55%)
59% on Kalshi
62% on Polymarket.

Basically, making up all the post Madison Square Garden losses in the last 24 hours. It will be interesting to see if these gut feels from these markets transition to voters.

Personally, I think most people figure he is going to win Pennsylvania. If he does these odds are probably correct.
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FBI warns against two fake videos as officials combat election disinformation​


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The FBI on Tuesday warned Americans about two new fake videos falsely citing terror threats and voter fraud, the latest in a string of disinformation that officials expect will intensify as voters head to the polls on Election Day and in the weeks afterward.


One fabricated video purporting to be from the federal law enforcement agency falsely cited a high terror threat and urged Americans to "vote remotely," while another video includes a fake press release alleging to be from the agency and alleging rigged voting among inmates in five prisons.

Both are "not authentic," the Federal Bureau of Investigation said in a statement, "Attempts to deceive the public with false content about FBI threat assessments and activities aim to undermine our democratic process and erode trust in the electoral system."

Federal, state and local officials have been warning Americans about attempts to undermine the election with wrong information and have urged U.S. voters to seek out credible information from reliable sources.

U.S. intelligence agencies have also said this year's contest faces an unprecedented disinformation campaign from foreign adversaries and that Russia and others aim to fan divisive narratives amid the election, an accusation Russia has denied.


On Monday, U.S. intelligence agencies said they expect overseas influence operations to "intensify through election day and in the coming weeks," particularly in the seven key battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Still, U.S. cybersecurity agency director Jen Easterly has said her department has not seen evidence of any activity that could directly impact the outcome of Tuesday's election, despite the surge in disinformation.

U.S. intelligence agencies last week blamed Russia for a false video purporting to show a Haitian immigrant claiming to have voted multiple times in the U.S. state of Georgia. Over the weekend, the FBI warned about several other fake videos.
 
I got sent a TikTok and I can't post here cause I'm essentially illiterate when it comes to stuff like that but is said.....

Today feels like the whole country is awaiting an STD test result....

That about sums it up.
Kinda feels like awaiting an STD test result when you know you have SOMETHING, but you're just hoping the test comes as crabs or an UTI rather than advanced stage syphilis.
 

Trump Field Director and Former RNC Field Officer Fired After Discovery he is a Prominent White Nationalist / Neo Nazi



Luke Meyer, a 24-year-old regional field director for the Donald Trump campaign in western Pennsylvania, has been fired after Politico revealed he was a prominent white nationalist writing and podcasting under an alias.

Meyer admitted to Politico that he was "Alberto Barbarossa," who cohosted the paywalled Alexandria podcast with Richard Spencer.


Spencer is known for neo-Nazi rhetoric, coining the term "alt-right," and organizing the 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Meyer used the online identity of "Barbarossa" to promote white nationalist views.

Newsweek has contacted the Trump campaign via email for comment but has not been able to contact Meyer, who has deleted all of his social media accounts.

In one episode of Alexandria, Meyer suggested that the U.S. could implement a racial regime akin to the Apartheid in South Africa in the 20th century.

Spencer said: "The country is not going to return to Ben Franklin's heady, glorious ideals of a pure, Hyperborean ethnostate." Barbarossa replied: "But what you can preserve is something where we have complete and total control, something not unlike Rhodesia or South Africa."


In an appearance on a separate white nationalist podcast, Meyer advocated for racially homogeneous U.S. cities. "Why can't we make New York, for example, white again?" he asked, adding that a "return to 80 percent, 90 percent white would probably be, probably the best we could hope for."

His "Barbarossa" persona often appeared online in images that showed a hand wearing a ring bearing the sonnenrad, or Black Sun, a symbol appropriated by neo-Nazi groups.

According to Politico's investigation, published Tuesday, Meyer responded to being presented with evidence that he was Barbarossa by expressing relief at no longer having to "conceal my true thoughts," and saying that white nationalism was already part of the Trump campaign.

"Like the hydra, you can cut off my head and hold it up for the world to see, but two more will quietly appear and be working in the shadows," Meyer wrote in an email to a Politico journalist. "Slating Trump to speak at [Madison Square Garden], putting 'poisoning the blood' in his speeches, setting up Odal runes at CPAC, etc. In a few years, one of those groypers [white supremacists] might even quietly bring me back in, with a stern warning for me to 'be more careful next time.'"


"Every second man under the age of thirty in the GOP believes 90 percent of the same things I believe," he wrote. "They just don't have the platform that I do, and can remain undetected as I had done."

After learning about Meyer's secret identity, the Pennsylvania GOP immediately terminated his employment.

"The employee in question was background-checked and vetted, but unbeknownst to us was operating separately under a pseudonym," the Pennsylvania GOP said in a statement. "If we'd had any inkling about his hidden and despicable activity he would never have been hired, and the instant we learned of it he was fired. We have no place in our party or nation for people with such shameful, hateful views."

Meyer held the position of regional field director for five months, working on Trump Force 47, an initiative within the Trump campaign focused on mobilizing volunteers and door-to-door efforts. The program is jointly funded by each state's GOP and the Trump campaign.


The Pennsylvania GOP made eight payments to Meyer for a total of $9,936 between June 17 and Aug. 30, according to Federal Election Commission data.

Since Friday, Meyer has deleted his LinkedIn and X accounts, as well as the Barbarossa X account. His Alberto Barbarossa Substack profile remained live at the time of writing.

According to information taken from his now-deleted LinkedIn account via the website datanyze.com, Meyer used to work for libertarian think tank Americans for Prosperity, tax preparation firm H&R Block, and for the Republican National Committee as a field officer.
 

Trump Field Director Fired After Discovery he is a Prominent White Nationalist



Luke Meyer, a 24-year-old regional field director for the Donald Trump campaign in western Pennsylvania, has been fired after Politico revealed he was a prominent white nationalist writing and podcasting under an alias.

Meyer admitted to Politico that he was "Alberto Barbarossa," who cohosted the paywalled Alexandria podcast with Richard Spencer.


Spencer is known for neo-Nazi rhetoric, coining the term "alt-right," and organizing the 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Meyer used the online identity of "Barbarossa" to promote white nationalist views.

Newsweek has contacted the Trump campaign via email for comment but has not been able to contact Meyer, who has deleted all of his social media accounts.

In one episode of Alexandria, Meyer suggested that the U.S. could implement a racial regime akin to the Apartheid in South Africa in the 20th century.

Spencer said: "The country is not going to return to Ben Franklin's heady, glorious ideals of a pure, Hyperborean ethnostate." Barbarossa replied: "But what you can preserve is something where we have complete and total control, something not unlike Rhodesia or South Africa."


In an appearance on a separate white nationalist podcast, Meyer advocated for racially homogeneous U.S. cities. "Why can't we make New York, for example, white again?" he asked, adding that a "return to 80 percent, 90 percent white would probably be, probably the best we could hope for."

His "Barbarossa" persona often appeared online in images that showed a hand wearing a ring bearing the sonnenrad, or Black Sun, a symbol appropriated by neo-Nazi groups.

According to Politico's investigation, published Tuesday, Meyer responded to being presented with evidence that he was Barbarossa by expressing relief at no longer having to "conceal my true thoughts," and saying that white nationalism was already part of the Trump campaign.

"Like the hydra, you can cut off my head and hold it up for the world to see, but two more will quietly appear and be working in the shadows," Meyer wrote in an email to a Politico journalist. "Slating Trump to speak at [Madison Square Garden], putting 'poisoning the blood' in his speeches, setting up Odal runes at CPAC, etc. In a few years, one of those groypers [white supremacists] might even quietly bring me back in, with a stern warning for me to 'be more careful next time.'"


"Every second man under the age of thirty in the GOP believes 90 percent of the same things I believe," he wrote. "They just don't have the platform that I do, and can remain undetected as I had done."

After learning about Meyer's secret identity, the Pennsylvania GOP immediately terminated his employment.

"The employee in question was background-checked and vetted, but unbeknownst to us was operating separately under a pseudonym," the Pennsylvania GOP said in a statement. "If we'd had any inkling about his hidden and despicable activity he would never have been hired, and the instant we learned of it he was fired. We have no place in our party or nation for people with such shameful, hateful views."

Meyer held the position of regional field director for five months, working on Trump Force 47, an initiative within the Trump campaign focused on mobilizing volunteers and door-to-door efforts. The program is jointly funded by each state's GOP and the Trump campaign.


The Pennsylvania GOP made eight payments to Meyer for a total of $9,936 between June 17 and Aug. 30, according to Federal Election Commission data.

Since Friday, Meyer has deleted his LinkedIn and X accounts, as well as the Barbarossa X account. His Alberto Barbarossa Substack profile remained live at the time of writing.

According to information taken from his now-deleted LinkedIn account via the website datanyze.com, Meyer used to work for libertarian think tank Americans for Prosperity, tax preparation firm H&R Block, and for the Republican National Committee as a field officer.
Interesting that they only found out after the campaigning was over. Quite handy.
 
He has accused Dems of cheating everyday for like a month now


Former Pres. Donald Trump spoke to reporters after casting his vote in Palm Beach, Florida.

"I feel very confident," Trump said, adding, "If I lose an election, if it's a fair election, I'll be the first one to acknowledge it. So far, I think it's been fair.”

Follow live election updates: https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/election-results-2024/?id=115468646
Honestly, that terrifies me. To me it means he's got a plan beyond just getting the most votes.
 
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