2024 Presidential Election

[Polds4OSU]

JD Vance suggested on Joe Rogan's podcast that middle-class kids are becoming trans to "reject white privilege" in order to get into Harvard and Yale.

George Takei (@georgehtakei) on Threads

JD Vance suggested on Joe Rogan's podcast that middle-class kids are becoming trans to "reject white privilege" in order to get into Harvard and Yale.

www.threads.net

 

[PF5]

can you imagine how hard it is for SNL writers to come up with outlandish and funny stuff in political skits? how about this one; not believable at all, but will get some laughs? nope, they actually said that...

 

[Stillwater Townie]

Because, you know, he is a just God.

God, looking down on the US:
"Hmmm, lots of abortions in NY, Cali, and Colorado. Virtually no legal abortions in Florida. Well, I'll show them. I'm gonna F up Florida with hurricaines. Twice! That will teach 'em about all those abortions!"

Literally as stupid as stupid can be.

Right. If God wanted abortion banned, it would have been clearly known in the bible that He did. Instead, you will find among other prohibitions to not wear clothing of mixed fabrics.

 

[Stillwater Townie]

Sen. Markwayne Mullin just told @cnn not a single precinct voted against Trump in 2020. That is not true. Further, Trump narrowly won Oklahoma County, 49.1% to 48.1% for Biden. Oklahoma County may go blue tomorrow: https://www.oklahoman.com/story/new...-voters-kamala-harris-trump-poll/75175384007/

A bunch of precincts in Stillwater went narrowly for Biden in 2020.

 

[GratefulPoke]

A few prediction market updates. Some movement after Rogan's endorsement of Trump on Kalshi:


No real movement on Predict It:


Polymarket looks similar to Kalshi.


It will be very interesting how things look around this time tomorrow. I expect to see a ton of volatility.

 

[JTOSU]

A few prediction market updates. Some movement after Rogan's endorsement of Trump on Kalshi:
View attachment 8177

No real movement on Predict It:
View attachment 8178

Polymarket looks similar to Kalshi.
View attachment 8179

It will be very interesting how things look around this time tomorrow. I expect to see a ton of volatility.

I don’t know if Rogan’s endorsement moves the needle much. He appeals to a demographic that probably is already a heavy Trump lean.
The endorsement today that might move the needle is Patrick Mahomes mom wearing MAGA gear in the suite at the MNF game.

 

[Polds4OSU]

Donald Trump described the United States as an “occupied country,” pointing to both undocumented and legal migrants as he pledged Monday to “rescue every city and town that has been invaded and conquered.” https://cnn.it/3CcoQIZ

 

[CowboyJD]

Donald Trump described the United States as an “occupied country,” pointing to both undocumented and legal migrants as he pledged Monday to “rescue every city and town that has been invaded and conquered.” https://cnn.it/3CcoQIZ

Whether they want him to or not….I’m assuming.

 

[Stillwaterman]

Any last-minute predictions?

 

[steross]

Any last-minute predictions?

As of tomorrow night, both sides will claim victory.

 

[Stillwaterman]

As of tomorrow night, both sides will claim victory.

I'm thinking things break one way and we will have an idea.

 

[JTOSU]

Any last-minute predictions?

Steve Kornacki will be as animated working a smart video screen as an Oklahoma TV meteorologist during a multiple tornado night.

 

[TheMonkey]

Any last-minute predictions?

 

[PF5]

Any last-minute predictions?

trump claims victory at 8PM...no matter what the early results show...

 

[Stillwaterman]

I almost added "besides pain".

 

[KK10]

I'll do more frequent prediction market updates today, just in case anyone finds them interesting. Kalshi has had a good amount of movement in the last 24 hours. Its overall trended towards Trump:

I find it extremely interesting & it'll be really wild to see after the results start coming in. I enjoy the updates, regardless what they show; much appreciated!

 

[cowboyinexile]

 

[steross]

Clues to a Trump or Harris Victory Could Emerge Early. Here’s What to Look For.

It has been a race unlike any other, and declaring a winner could take a while. Here are some potential harbingers.

www.nytimes.com

Clues to a Trump or Harris Victory Could Emerge Early. Here’s What to Look For.​

It has been a race unlike any other, and declaring a winner could take a while. Here are some potential harbingers.

You might be excited about Election Day, dreading it, or desperate for it to be over.

Regardless, it is here.

But the end of this high-drama presidential campaign on election night may not bring immediate clarity about who has won.
It could take days or even longer to know who wins. Here’s what to watch as the counting begins.

Polling shows Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump deadlocked in nearly all of the seven swing states. So the first thing we’ll glean from the returns on Tuesday night is not who will win — but just how close the battle is shaping up to be, and how long it might take to determine the winner.

The first battleground state where the polls will close is Georgia, at 7 p.m. Eastern time, followed closely by North Carolina, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern. A majority of voters cast ballots early in both states, and those results are expected to be reported early in the night. The vast majority of ballots in both states are likely to be tallied and reported by midnight. They will give us an early sense of whether the night is shaping up to be a battle of inches, or something more decisive. (See a full list of when polls close.)

 

[GOGETUMPOKE]

Any last-minute predictions?

I was pretty confident Trump would get 300 EV until I learned this morning that Dick Van Dyke has endorsed Kamala. It's clearly anybody's ballgame now.

 

[Stillwaterman]

A few prediction market updates. Some movement after Rogan's endorsement of Trump on Kalshi:
View attachment 8177

No real movement on Predict It:
View attachment 8178

Polymarket looks similar to Kalshi.
View attachment 8179

It will be very interesting how things look around this time tomorrow. I expect to see a ton of volatility.

Trump now at .55 on predictit. (55%)
59% on Kalshi
62% on Polymarket.

Basically, making up all the post Madison Square Garden losses in the last 24 hours. It will be interesting to see if these gut feels from these markets transition to voters.

Personally, I think most people figure he is going to win Pennsylvania. If he does these odds are probably correct.