2024 Presidential Election

[Stillwaterman]

Bout to figure out if the markets are worth a fart.

Well, it looks like we are more likely than not going to get another Trump presidency. Looks likely that the Rs will get the Senate and possibly if not probably the House.

I don't like either side in full control of the government. We tend to get even bigger deficits and stupidity.

R control of the House and Senate with a Harris presidency would make me happier.

Agreed.

 

[GOGETUMPOKE]

View attachment 8222

After I posted that I saw where Silver supposedly backed out of the bet.

 

[steross]

New York Times just changed from "Toss-up" to "leaning Trump"

 

[PF5]

13,000 Nevada ballots, many from young voters, need signature cures

 

[Duke Silver]

Might know tonight

 

[JTOSU]

All of the prediction markets are trending toward Trump based on these first few states being called and Georgia looking positive for him:
View attachment 8218
Predict It's graph doesn't look right, here are the current contract prices:
View attachment 8219
View attachment 8220

Big movement in betting sites in last 15 minutes.

Electionbettingodds.com = 82% Trump
Kalshi = 82% Trump
Predict it = 79% Trump

But WI, AZ, GA, NC and …mostly PA are still close. I still think PA will determine winner.

However, congress looks GOP
House: GOP was under 50% odds for House control before today…and now is 68%
Senate: GOP 98%

 

[Duke Silver]

New York Times at this moment 79% Trump

 

[Donnyboy]

I registered to vote against Cruz. They just called it for him. Allred gave up his spot in the house to run against him.

 

[GOGETUMPOKE]

Might know tonight

It’s over now.

 

[GOGETUMPOKE]

Big movement in betting sites in last 15 minutes.

Electionbettingodds.com = 82% Trump
Kalshi = 82% Trump
Predict it = 79% Trump

But WI, AZ, GA, NC and …mostly PA are still close. I still think PA will determine winner.

However, congress looks GOP
House: GOP was under 50% odds for House control before today…and now is 68%
Senate: GOP 98%

Trump can win without PA. Harris can’t.

 

[steross]

I registered to vote against Cruz. They just called it for him. Allred gave up his spot in the house to run against him.

Yea, there are those politicians in either party (Pelosi, Cruz, Graham, Schumer ....) that you wonder how in the heck they get in over and over.

 

[steross]

It’s over now.

Yep. It isn't possible now unless they are completely wrong.

 

[Stillwaterman]

It’s over now.

I'm waiting for any of the big 3 to get called. Looks like Trump is leading slightly in all three.

 

[KK10]

I’m where someone else is in control of the remote, so I’m getting to watch results on Fox News.
Dana Perino decided to do coverage tonight dressed like Colonel Sanders.

 

[Stillwaterman]

Yea, there are those politicians in either party (Pelosi, Cruz, Graham, Schumer ....) that you wonder how in the heck they get in over and over.

I think its as simple as name recognition.

 

[Donnyboy]

I think its as simple as name recognition.

I can’t believe Harris county hasn’t produced a center right Republican that can beat him. There are millions of them there.

 

[Donnyboy]

Dallas county voted to decriminalize weed!!!! My faith in democracy is restored!!!!

 

[GOGETUMPOKE]

I’m where someone else is in control of the remote, so I’m getting to watch results on Fox News.
Dana Perino decided to do coverage tonight dressed like Colonel Sanders.

Dana is “Finger Lickin Good “! I’m watching CNN for the record. The King guy on CNN is a master on the map.

 

[KK10]

 

[Donnyboy]

She looks mean