WH hints of military invasion of Venezuela

“They took all of our oil… and we want it back.” — Trump, escalates rhetoric on Venezuela, alleging the country illegally seized U.S. oil rights. His remarks followed his announcement of a blockade on sanctioned oil tankers, amid rising threats of direct military involvement.

Rhetoric aside. The price of oil is one of the great economic models of supply and demand. It will paint the biggest picture of how the economy is faring. Canary down the well bore so to speak.

Today February crude futures sit below 56.50. We don’t print above $60/barrel until mid 2029. We don’t trade over $62 in ANY futures contract month which goes out thru February 2037.

His domestic economic policies are devastating the oil and gas industry. One of the only saving graces is that we have neglected drilling natgas wells and a cold start to winter has caused a mini run in natgas prices. That is propping up US rig counts right now. But this also means he was full of it when he said electric prices will be coming down.

Crude oil futures prices tell us we are in an oversupplied market. That is a combination of too much US production and the US economy cooling. No way to dispute the fact we are oversupplied.

So why invade Venezuela and bring even more production to market? There is no overall America 1st agenda to this.
 
Rhetoric aside. The price of oil is one of the great economic models of supply and demand. It will paint the biggest picture of how the economy is faring. Canary down the well bore so to speak.

Today February crude futures sit below 56.50. We don’t print above $60/barrel until mid 2029. We don’t trade over $62 in ANY futures contract month which goes out thru February 2037.

His domestic economic policies are devastating the oil and gas industry. One of the only saving graces is that we have neglected drilling natgas wells and a cold start to winter has caused a mini run in natgas prices. That is propping up US rig counts right now. But this also means he was full of it when he said electric prices will be coming down.

Crude oil futures prices tell us we are in an oversupplied market. That is a combination of too much US production and the US economy cooling. No way to dispute the fact we are oversupplied.

So why invade Venezuela and bring even more production to market? There is no overall America 1st agenda to this.
I agree. Oil company executives need to warn Republican legislators in Congress that they will seek to primary them out if they don't demand Trump stop his war on Venezuela.

On the other hand, conservative economists, who support Trump, will tell you the drop in oil prices will be great against inflation, since it will make prices of everything go down. Furthermore, deregulation makes drilling for oil cheaper. I hope that doesn't end up meaning an upsurge of earthquakes in Oklahoma.

China buys oil from Venezuela, so a war will only needlessly complicate things. Don't be surprised if China plays a big role in how this ridiculous thing ends.

It doesn't seem much like Venezuela is involved with the Fentanyl problem. Fentanyl seizures have dropped by 30% at the U.S.-Mexico border compared to the previous year. This decline is attributed to increased enforcement efforts by both the U.S. and Mexican governments, which have implemented measures to combat fentanyl trafficking and production. However, some Democrats in Congress wonder if the 30% drop is really a positive reflection of what is really going on with Fentanyl.
 
Last edited:
I agree. Oil company executives need to warn Republican legislators in Congress that they will seek to primary them out if they don't demand Trump stop his war on Venezuela.

On the other hand, conservative economists, who support Trump, will tell you the drop in oil prices will be great against inflation, since it will make prices of everything go down. Furthermore, deregulation makes drilling for oil cheaper. I hope that doesn't end up meaning an upsurge of earthquakes in Oklahoma.

China buys oil from Venezuela, so a war will only needlessly complicate things. Don't be surprised if China plays a big role in how this ridiculous thing ends.

It doesn't seem much like Venezuela is involved with the Fentanyl problem. Fentanyl seizures have dropped by 30% at the U.S.-Mexico border compared to the previous year. This decline is attributed to increased enforcement efforts by both the U.S. and Mexican governments, which have implemented measures to combat fentanyl trafficking and production. However, some Democrats in Congress wonder if the 30% drop is really a positive reflection of what is really going on with Fentanyl.
Take a look at the oil drilling process and the single biggest component involved in the process.

Drilling rig-steel
Completion rig-steel
Downhole pipe-steel
Surface equipment-steel
Pump jack-steel
Storage tanks-steel
Pipeline-steel
Tanker trucks-steel
Rail cars-steel

Every single piece of the process to drill, produce, store, treat and transport a single barrel is steel.

Trump’s tariffs and economic policies have increased the expense side and hammered the revenue side.

Some deregulation helps some w costs but do we really want to deregulate the production side of this industry? The biggest help is on the front end w EIA’s and permitting. And permits approvals are up under Trump.
 
Exclusive: Stephen Miller, President Trump’s homeland security adviser, originally planned to go after Mexican drug cartels, according to U.S. officials.

But as southern border security increased, Miller and his team were left looking for a new target: Venezuela.

 
Back
Top