Today (Sunday) at 3:30 OSU (14-2) travels to Carver Hawkeye arena to face the 41-1 Iowa Hawkeyes. John Smith said that he doesn't much consider this a rivalry right now, because we have not been very competitive, but I think that was his competitive spirit, as we are 4-6 the last 10 matchups. Certainly not as dominant as we'd liek to be (and are against most programs) but not like we are 0-10 or anything. As for this year, we have turned out to be a little more competitive than I think most rational fans expected (looking at you Lee), but this will still take a few upsets to have a chance. to win on the road. Here are the lineups:
125: (28) Reece Witcraft (16-8) v. (1) Spencer Lee (13-0)
133: (2) Daton Fix (21-0) v. (16) Brody Teske (6-1) or Cullan Schreiver (7-6)
141: (15) Carter Young (13-9) v. (2) Real Woods (12-0)
149: (20) Victor Voinovich (14-7) v. (6) Max Murin (16-3)
157: (9) Kaden Gfeller (17-5) v. (13) Cobe Siebrecht (10-3)
165: (23) Wyatt Sheets (12-11) v. (7) Patrick Kennedy (15-2)
174: (11) Dustin Plott (18-3) v. (14) Nelson Brands (5-4)
184: (10) Travis Wittlake (16-3) v. (12) Abe Assad (14-2) or Drake Rhodes (1-4)
197: (17) Luke Surber (17-6) v. (12) Jacob Warner (12-4)
HWT: (22) Konner Doucet (15-7) v. (3) Tony Cassioppi (16-2)
The first thing that stands out is that none of these guys have ever wrestled before, which is a little strange because we wrestle Iowa almost every year. I think it is a function of a lot our guys being young, and a couple at totally new weights. The other thing to consider is that this time of year, lots of programs sit some of their top guys for whatever reason, such as seeding or to keep them healthy, so you never know who ends up on the mat. John Smith doesn't usually do this, however, so expect our best guys.
They are heavily favored at 125, 141, 149, 165 and HWT. However, outside of 125 where anything but a pin will be a win for Witcraft (Lee has a 92% bonus rate, but is rumored to have hurt his knees again), we have a punchers chance for an upset. Young is talented enough to win these big matches, he just needs to finish the shots he ends up with a leg on, Voinovich has shown sparks of greatness, Sheets has had his share of upsets and Doucet keeps it so low scoring, usually all it takes is a late TD to give himself a shot.
We are heavily favored at 133, and while Fix should win easily, it's not as likely he will get 6 like we really need to stay in it.
That leaves 4 what I'd call "tossups" - 157, 174, 194 and 197. The only reason 174 is a tossup instead of us being heavily favored is that Plott has lost 2 of his last 4 and those 2 losses were guys about the same level as Brands. If Plott wrestles like he is supposed to, it will be a win. So that leaves us 3 or 4 other matches we have to take. I just don't see it, but stranger things have happened. 16-18 Iowa.
125: (28) Reece Witcraft (16-8) v. (1) Spencer Lee (13-0)
133: (2) Daton Fix (21-0) v. (16) Brody Teske (6-1) or Cullan Schreiver (7-6)
141: (15) Carter Young (13-9) v. (2) Real Woods (12-0)
149: (20) Victor Voinovich (14-7) v. (6) Max Murin (16-3)
157: (9) Kaden Gfeller (17-5) v. (13) Cobe Siebrecht (10-3)
165: (23) Wyatt Sheets (12-11) v. (7) Patrick Kennedy (15-2)
174: (11) Dustin Plott (18-3) v. (14) Nelson Brands (5-4)
184: (10) Travis Wittlake (16-3) v. (12) Abe Assad (14-2) or Drake Rhodes (1-4)
197: (17) Luke Surber (17-6) v. (12) Jacob Warner (12-4)
HWT: (22) Konner Doucet (15-7) v. (3) Tony Cassioppi (16-2)
The first thing that stands out is that none of these guys have ever wrestled before, which is a little strange because we wrestle Iowa almost every year. I think it is a function of a lot our guys being young, and a couple at totally new weights. The other thing to consider is that this time of year, lots of programs sit some of their top guys for whatever reason, such as seeding or to keep them healthy, so you never know who ends up on the mat. John Smith doesn't usually do this, however, so expect our best guys.
They are heavily favored at 125, 141, 149, 165 and HWT. However, outside of 125 where anything but a pin will be a win for Witcraft (Lee has a 92% bonus rate, but is rumored to have hurt his knees again), we have a punchers chance for an upset. Young is talented enough to win these big matches, he just needs to finish the shots he ends up with a leg on, Voinovich has shown sparks of greatness, Sheets has had his share of upsets and Doucet keeps it so low scoring, usually all it takes is a late TD to give himself a shot.
We are heavily favored at 133, and while Fix should win easily, it's not as likely he will get 6 like we really need to stay in it.
That leaves 4 what I'd call "tossups" - 157, 174, 194 and 197. The only reason 174 is a tossup instead of us being heavily favored is that Plott has lost 2 of his last 4 and those 2 losses were guys about the same level as Brands. If Plott wrestles like he is supposed to, it will be a win. So that leaves us 3 or 4 other matches we have to take. I just don't see it, but stranger things have happened. 16-18 Iowa.