First off I’m not disagreeing w anything you’ve said as I find it very interesting and I also tend to view myself in the same light as Bowers posted.
UBI is an interesting concept. I’d like to read thoughts on (1) who pays the UBI (feds? Corps?) (2) if it’s the feds how do they get the $s to pay out UBI? Since corps will have saved $ hand over fist by not paying salaries, 401ks, health insurance, FICA, OSHA costs and on and on? (3) How do you qualify for UBI and what’s the metric for how much you receive? (4) What happens to health insurance and other benefits like 401ks/retirement plans if businesses don’t employ? This would seem to put a huge strain on individual healthcare/insurance costs and the retirement system. (5) What happens to Social Security Income/Medicare if employees and employers are no longer paying into the system bc they have been moved to UBI?
Seems like there’s a huge tax coming on corporations and ultra wealthy. You can’t just disappear millions from the labor market and not have a complete system collapse.
There are likely others who are more familiar with the funding mechanisms for UBI. Your questions prompted me to do some searching on this. It appears there are different models. Below is what I found.
I also noted UBI is best described as a floor to stand on, not a safety net as I inaccurately characterized it. Usually no more than $1000/mo. so people are still motivated to work.
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Andrew Yang’s Freedom Dividend (2019 U.S. plan)
10% VAT on goods/services (~$800B/yr) + financial transaction tax (0.1%, $50B) + carbon tax ($20/ton) + lift SS payroll cap + capital gains as ordinary income. Net cost: ~$1.4T (after benefit savings).
Progressive Tax‑Funded UBI
(e.g., wealth/carbon taxes)
Wealth tax (1–3% on ultra‑rich), progressive income/estate taxes, end corporate subsidies, carbon/resource rents (e.g., Alaska oil fund). Replaces some welfare to offset costs.
Negative Income Tax
(NIT, Friedman/Yang hybrid)
Progressive income tax + VAT; phases out as earnings rise (e.g., 50% subsidy up to $20K, then tapers).
Key Design Choices Across Proposals
- **Universal vs. means‑tested**: Flat to everyone (simpler admin, stigma‑free) or tapered (cheaper, targets need).
- **Replacement vs. supplement**: Many replace means‑tested welfare (savings ~20–30% of cost) but keep contributory programs like SS.
- **Corp tax angle**: Yes—profits/automation taxes (e.g., robot tax) or VAT on AI services to claw back labor savings. Addresses his #2/#5 directly.
- **Healthcare/retirement**: Hybrid public expansion + private persistence; UBI as floor, not full substitute (avoids his #4 strain).
These aren't collapse‑proof, but pilots (e.g., Stockton CA: $500/mo reduced joblessness without work drop) suggest feasibility with tweaks. His "huge tax on corps/wealthy" prediction holds—most plans rely on it.